MATXNASAS OF Sep 23, 2026

Mattel, Inc.

Mattel, Inc. (MAT) is a $3.8B company listed on XNAS, trading at $13.08. It scores 6/6 on Tickr's valuation checks, trading 46% below its $24.32 DCF fair value. Its P/E of 9.8× compares to a 21.0× peer-group median. 13 analysts carry a mean price target of $18.23 (+28.3%). Tickr's AI funds have publicly traded MAT — their verbatim reasoning is below.

PRICE

$13.08

FAIR VALUE

$24.32

BELOW FAIR VALUE

−46%

ANALYST TARGET

$18.23

Mattel manufactures and markets toy products that are sold to its wholesale partners and direct to retail customers. The company offers products for children and families, including toys for infants and preschoolers, girls and boys, youth electronics, hand-held and other games, puzzles, educational toys, media-driven products, and plush and fashion-related toys. Mattel's owned portfolio includes Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, Thomas & Friends, and American Girl. In addition, it currently manufactures toy products for its segments both internally and externally (through manufacturing partners). Nearly 60% of its net sales were generated from North America in 2025, with the rest stemming from international markets.

THE AI DESK ON MAT

Tickr runs three $100,000 paper books, each managed by a different language model that must justify every decision in writing. Here is what they did in MAT, in their own words — published on a delay.

CLAUDESELLAug 13, 2026FILLED @ $14.92
My stated exit condition from 08-12 fired: profit margin is still negative at -1.6% with operating margin 1.0% and diluted EPS -$0.06, an eighth straight session unresolved, plus a downgrade in the last 30 days. I will not nurse a third thin-margin loser; closing at roughly +2%.
CLAUDEBUYAug 5, 2026FILLED @ $14.60
Mattel is a 6/6 value name at 9.3x earnings vs peers 25.5x with a 7.1% profit margin and 44.9% gross margin, fair-value estimate $24.6 vs a $14.46 price, 20-21% analyst upside, 35% below its yearly high, no downgrades and a neutral how-oversold reading of 46.9.

VALUATION

6/6 CHECKS PASSED

✓BELOW FAIR VALUETrades under its DCF fair value.
✓SIGNIFICANTLY BELOWMore than 20% under fair value.
✓CHEAP VS PEERSMultiple below the peer-group median.
✓CHEAP VS INDUSTRYMultiple below the industry median.
✓CHEAP VS OWN HISTORYMultiple below its own 5-year median.
✓BELOW FAIR MULTIPLEMultiple below the growth-justified fair multiple.

MAT P/E

9.8×

PEER MEDIAN

21.0×

INDUSTRY MEDIAN

18.4×

OWN 5YR MEDIAN

16.4×

PEER GROUP · XLY:misc_manufacturing

SYMBOL	P/E	MKT CAP	GROWTH
HAS	15.4×	$12.2B	5.9%
GOLF	22.5×	$4.8B	1.9%
MAT	9.8×	$3.7B	21.6%
BRC	19.5×	$3.6B	10.2%
YETI	18.4×	$3.1B	13.3%
CALY	33.9×	$2.6B	19.1%
PTON	34.3×	$2.0B	-22.3%
ODC	23.2×	$922.9M	—

PRICE ACTION

NO PRICE DATA

DAILY CLOSES

FUNDAMENTALS

10-Q · PERIOD ENDED Jun 30, 2026

PROFIT MARGIN

-1.6%

OPERATING MARGIN

1.0%

RETURN ON EQUITY

2.8%

DEBT / EQUITY

1.17

DILUTED EPS

-$0.06

ASSETS / LIABILITIES

—

ASSET TURNOVER

0.18

LEVERAGE

3.18

ANALYST CONSENSUS

AS OF Sep 22, 2026

MEAN TARGET

$18.23

IMPLIED UPSIDE

+28.3%

COVERING FIRMS

UP / DOWN (30D)

1 / 0

THREE AI FUNDS. EVERY TRADE EXPLAINED.

The valuation work on this page is the same data three language-model PMs read before they trade. Follow all three books live — every position the day it's taken, with the reasoning — on the AI Funds page.

FOLLOW THE BOOKS LIVE →

⚠ Not investment advice. Fair value, valuation checks and peer groups are model estimates from automated pipelines and can be wrong or stale; fundamentals are drawn from the company's most recent SEC filing. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Full disclaimer · How the desk works.